When I said back in June 16, 2015 (the day he kicked off his campaign for president) that Trump will be our next President, everyone laughed at me and told me I was insane… Never in a million years this would ever happen they said on and on again.
Well, I did not waiver and told all that they will be proven wrong, so here you have it.
So if you care listening today to what I think will happen in the next 4-8 years under the Trump regime, here are my thoughts….. Keep them for the record and for comparison as we go along.
It is a fact that we are entering today a major inflection point in history and the right wing throughout the world is ascendant. With Trump in power I think this trend will only accelerate. The EU will realign into blocs and there will be massive turmoil as things sort out over the next several years. The French will go back to the Franc. Germany will shift right as the refugees create social, crime and fiscal issues. NATO countries will invest much more in defense and will be forced to build up their armies. As ISIS gets destroyed they will try to wage war in Europe through more terror attacks. Hence, last thing I would recommend anyone at this point in time is to invest in Europe. Mark my words.
Back to the initial question…
How do I foresee the US under a Trump regime today?
I believe Obamacare will be repealed; but there are considerable differences in the plans that would replace it. My guess is that we are going to get substantial relief for small businesses and move towards more significant health savings accounts. There will not be a single mandate for an insurance company to cover all sorts of things. A 55-year-old woman is not going to have to purchase insurance that has prenatal care in it. People will have much more ability to tailor insurance to their own personal needs. This should help a great deal on costs to individuals and businesses, but it won’t deal with the overall cost of the system.
I also predict Dodd–Frank is going to be restructured and it is very likely that the new DOL rule on fiduciaries and ERISA plans will at least be postponed if not significantly changed. On a personal note, there are parts of the DOL fiduciary rules that make sense, and I support them. But it appears to me that DOL was trying to make a one-size-fits-all rule that was just a bridge too far.
I believe corporate taxes will be reduced to 15% or maybe a bit higher. Personal taxes will be reduced. All executive orders by Obama will be reversed. Most of the massive regulation Obama put in place will be cancelled.
I also predict the SCOTUS vacancy will be filled immediately. The Supreme Court will get a conservative justice right away and Ginsburg will try to hang on until she dies in office to try to deny him her seat. She will not last 4 years. Trump will get at least 2 and maybe 3 judge picks. The Supreme court will decide by what strict constructionists think the constitution says not the left wing politics of Sotomayor. It will be much more pro-business. Antitrust cases will go away. Sanctuary cities will lose funding and the border will somehow be secured with Border Patrol materially increased and gang members arrested and deported.
I believe there will be a revised NAFTA but Mexico will suffer a lot because many US companies will not move plants there until they see what revised NAFTA says. Mexico takes a big hit. The Pentagon and US defense contractors will be big winners. Defense spending will ramp up by huge numbers. The military will add over 200,000 people over the next two years. Weapons spend will dramatically increase. This will add a lot of new jobs between the additional military and the added jobs in defense plants. Private equity on the other hand will take a big hit with carried interest going away and this will make a small part payment for the tax cuts. Estate taxes will mostly go away. Cops will be respected again and racial strife will end as Trump tries new ideas to build charter schools, and rebuild the ghettos. There will be no more honoring the families of the thugs the way Obama and Hilary did. He will honor the cops. The downtrend in crime will get reinstated. Transgender anything will go away.
I also predict the military will be told to go win wars and not be social experiments with transgender soldiers. Rules of engagement will be changed to kill the enemy instead of cater to political correctness. There will be an infusion of another 5,000 US soldiers into Iraq and more into Syria to back up the destruction of ISIS. The bombing campaign will be stepped up to what it should be. By September 2017 I believe ISIS will have been defeated. They will try to carry out major terror attacks, but now the world will call “Islamic terror” what it is and there will be a more aggressive fight and coordination. Putin and Trump will get along perfectly as Putin will soon realize he cannot push Trump around like he does Obama and he will work out a modus vivendi because he knows he has at least 4 more years to deal with a new US president. The Iran nuke deal will get torn up and Iran will find itself back under sanctions. The Germans will scream but Merkel is now in a very weak position so she will not be able to stop Trump from re-imposing them at least for US companies and anyone wanting to do business in the US – especially banks. This will be world changing. The Saudis win big on this, Israel wins huge. Developers win because the EPA will be defanged. Climate change legislation is dead and the Paris pact will be defunct.
College campuses will no longer have the threat that unless they find a bunch of young guys to charge with sexual whatever they lose funds. PC on college campuses will be pressured to end although for quite a while there will be protests and other such things. Today professors are telling students they do not have to take exams because they are so upset. This is exactly what is wrong with American colleges today.
Overall, the entire world will change in massive ways. We will see if for good or bad. The tide of anti-socialist, anti PC, anti-diversity, anti-entitlement, anti-establishment of the past 70 years will wash across the world and Trump is simply the ultimate example of what had already been happening with Brexit and in Europe. As far as the stock market- it will rise further. Taxes will get cut, the Supreme Court will not be activist, anti-trust will end, some type of infrastructure program will be instituted, defense spending will jump, banks will be free to lend, regulations will be drastically reduced, and corporate profits will rise.
My thought process in getting to the above predictions
Well, I spend a lot of time observing trends and traveling, and talking to real people on the ground all across the country at all walks of life. I do not read the NY Times nor do I watch NBC or CBS or CNN. I talk to lots of real people who are doing whatever they do day to day and try to glean tidbits and connect the dots. Any of you can do the same and probably better than me. I just try to disconnect myself from what the talking heads are saying, and the latest fad of political thinking, and try to see it from a distance with some objectivity.
If you listen to the media you might have the impression that the Trump transition team is in complete disarray. Not the case at all. They have broken the transition process down into over 30 departments and have created a “landing document” for each department. The analogy they are using is that this process is like planning an invasion, and they are going to hand the landing document off to the “beachhead teams” who will then execute the plans. This is being done for every department and my guess is that some of that thinking has been going on for years, and now is ready to be implemented.
In the process, Trump’s management style will most probably be going to drive the media (and admittedly, much of the country and the world) nuts. Trump will have people in his entourage competing to give him the pieces of information he needs. In his business organization, he sets the vision and then hires people to execute that vision; and then he goes back to doing what we have seen him do so well, which is to create the brand and image. Basically, he is bringing in people to execute his vision, and he’s going to expect them to get it done. He will jump in when he thinks he’s needed or when he can add something to the process, but he will mostly be paying attention to his team’s performance. There is going to maybe be more than the usual amount of personnel turnover in the first six months. The media will be writing about how Trump can’t keep people and about all the chaos in the White House and other parts of government. But from Trump’s perspective, and given his management style, that’s not necessarily bad in terms of his longer-term goal of changing things.
To close, I believe that the biggest problems are going to maybe consist of dealing with the entrenched bureaucracy. It is highly likely that Congress will pass legislation that requires any department making a ruling that could cost over $100 million to get congressional approval for that rule. Given the recent ruling by the Second Court of Appeals that the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) does not meet the constitutional requirement for government oversight and that the law concerning it has to be changed, it is highly likely that the CFPB will be overhauled and reformed.
Congress has been passing literally hundreds of pieces of legislation, knowing full well they would be vetoed and never see the light of day. Not all of these will be brought back up, as the Republicans were counting on Obama vetoing them. But I think we will see a great deal of legislation passed in the first six months to one year. These are bills that have already been through committee and have enough support to get action.
As you may or may not know, there are three main New World Order centers on earth…. the Vatican as the spiritual influence, London as the financial world center, and Washington D.C. as the Military Industrial Complex (strong arm of the world). Thirteen families (think) they are running the world along with approximately one million co-conspirators….human and other human like hybrids with minor gene variations.
All three centers control the media, the [501(c)3] churches in America, the intelligence agencies and selected puppet pre- leaders.
Will Trump being forced into the New World Order Cabal by the Trilateral Commission, Bilderberg and Council of Foreign Relations (CFR)? I certainly doubt it and I believe they are all in for a big surprise they could not even fathom.
This is indeed an incredible time to be alive….. What makes me particularly happy is that the New World Order plans are falling apart….and that THEY ARE VERY TICKED too !
By :� Ziad K Abdelnour
Ziad is also the author of the best selling book� Economic Warfare: Secrets of Wealth Creation in the Age of Welfare Politics (Wiley, 2011),
Mr. Ziad Abdelnour continues to be featured in hundreds of media channels and publications every year and is widely seen as one of the top business leaders by millions around the world.
He was also featured as one of the� 500 Most Influential CEOs in the World.